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V-Lab

Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

313.29%

increased by 24.52%

1 Week

313.38%

increased by 24.61%

1 Month

313.71%

increased by 24.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Lianhe Sowell International Group Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0810
0.78
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0474
6.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9526
75.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.9920
8.56***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
1.81*

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days