Nomura Research Institute Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:56.67% (-4.76%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0318 | 5.77 | |
| 0.1278 | 5.79 | |
| 0.6993 | 15.05 | |
| -0.3272 | -2.52 | |
| 0.6192 | 3.34 | |
| -0.5637 | -5.08 | |
| 0.4224 | 3.42 | |
| -0.1889 | -1.64 | |
| 0.0727 | 0.77 | |
| -0.0578 | -0.61 | |
| 0.0715 | 0.61 | |
| -0.1867 | -1.28 | |
| 0.5000 | 1.79 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 14, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 14, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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