Nomura Research Institute AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:57.94% (-6.81%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4414 | 31.58 | |
| 0.1546 | 35.39 | |
| 0.7559 | 172.73 | |
| 0.4136 | 5.47 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 14, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 14, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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