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Wata Chemicals Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 2nd, 2026

1 Day

8,752.40

decreased by 51.05

1 Week

8,771.14

decreased by 32.31

1 Month

9,036.58

increased by 233.13

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 05:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wata Chemicals Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2014 to Aug 27, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 685 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.14
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9936
1,087.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0107
4.55***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

685 days