V-Lab
Wata Chemicals Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 2nd, 2026
1 Day
8,752.40
decreased by 51.05
1 Week
8,771.14
decreased by 32.31
1 Month
9,036.58
increased by 233.13
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 05:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 4, 2014 to Aug 27, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 685 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9936 | 1,087.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0107 | 4.55*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
685 days
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