How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	2.1163	2.96***
αARCH	0.1254	6.81***
βGARCH	0.8443	70.72***
γleverage	0.0606	3.06***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	2.1163	2.96***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1254	6.81***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8443	70.72***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0606	3.06***

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Vestel Beyaz Esya Sanayi Ve Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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