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V-Lab

Versabank Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

13,970.97

decreased by 203.38

1 Week

14,299.51

increased by 125.16

1 Month

15,298.61

increased by 1,124.26

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Versabank ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.02
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9853
270.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0294
5.11***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-