V-Lab
Sudarshan Pharma Industries ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
9,258.12
1 Week
4,374.16
1 Month
3,484.49
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1958 | 8.81*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8132 | 48.36*** |
| γleverage | -0.0358 | -1.63 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 12,937.3757 |
0.991
Persistence77d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1958 | 8.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8132 | 48.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0358 | -1.63 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 12,937.3757 |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
77 days
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