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Sudarshan Pharma Industries ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

9,258.12

increased by 5,513.16

1 Week

4,374.16

increased by 629.20

1 Month

3,484.49

decreased by 260.47

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Sudarshan Pharma Industries ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~77 days
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.1958
8.81***
βGARCH0.8132
48.36***
γleverage-0.0358
-1.63
λ₁tau intercept12,937.3757

0.991

Persistence

77d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1958
8.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8132
48.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0358
-1.63
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

12,937.3757

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

77 days