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Sreeleathers Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

4,137.63

increased by 6.05

1 Week

4,787.88

increased by 656.30

1 Month

6,403.77

increased by 2,272.19

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Sreeleathers Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2043
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7911
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0092
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.6738
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1708
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8292

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

173286 days