Sia Engineering Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026
1 Day
4,771.89
1 Week
4,661.69
1 Month
5,071.97
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 26, 2001 to Nov 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 96 | |
| αARCH | 0.1840 | 5.54*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7711 | 27.63*** |
| γleverage | -0.1840 | -1.42 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 6.5750 | 0.81 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0209 | 2.54** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9773 | 117.07*** |
0.863
Persistence5d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1840 | 5.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7711 | 27.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1840 | -1.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.5750 | 0.81 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0209 | 2.54** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9773 | 117.07*** |
Persistence:
0.863
Half-life:
5 days
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