Snowline Gold Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5,217.61
decreased by 282.02
1 Week
5,718.60
increased by 218.97
1 Month
4,697.25
decreased by 802.38
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:37 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2023 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 253 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~253 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.06 |
| αARCH | 0.0472 | 2.06** |
| βGARCH | 0.9165 | 67.92*** |
| γleverage | 0.0670 | 1.62 |
0.997
Persistence253d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.06 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0472 | 2.06** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9165 | 67.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0670 | 1.62 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
253 days
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