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Snowline Gold Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

5,217.61

decreased by 282.02

1 Week

5,718.60

increased by 218.97

1 Month

4,697.25

decreased by 802.38

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:37 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Snowline Gold Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2023 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 253 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~253 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.06
αARCH0.0472
2.06**
βGARCH0.9165
67.92***
γleverage0.0670
1.62

0.997

Persistence

253d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.06
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0472
2.06**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9165
67.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0670
1.62

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

253 days