How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	61
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2165	0.10
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7406	13.89***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.2165	-0.05
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.12
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0308	0.13
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9693	12.88***

V-Lab

Nforce Secure Pcl ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Nforce Secure Pcl Analyses