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Samba Bank Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

9,825.46

increased by 5,844.92

1 Week

5,234.42

increased by 1,253.88

1 Month

2,735.65

decreased by 1,244.89

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Samba Bank Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 1997 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 859 trading days (~3.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3157
1.71*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8414
57.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3157
-0.89
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9988
1,989.69***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

859 days