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Reway Group S P A Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

47,451.07

decreased by 1,097.86

1 Week

52,219.50

increased by 3,670.57

1 Month

84,546.02

increased by 35,997.09

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Reway Group S P A ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 8, 2023 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0779
2.66***
βGARCH0.9398
63.66***
γleverage-0.0353
-0.75

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0779
2.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9398
63.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0353
-0.75

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days