Pyramid Technoplast Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
6,181.29
increased by 1,244.22
1 Week
4,610.69
decreased by 326.38
1 Month
2,862.76
decreased by 2,074.31
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 29, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 356 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 166% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~356 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 166% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.7884 | 0.58 |
| αARCH | 0.0627 | 2.05** |
| βGARCH | 0.8831 | 46.94*** |
| γleverage | 0.1044 | 2.05** |
0.998
Persistence356d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.7884 | 0.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0627 | 2.05** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8831 | 46.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1044 | 2.05** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
356 days
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