How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.2635	6.27***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0483	12.00***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9533	458.74***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0030	-0.53

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Petrolimex Intl Trading Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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