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Neto Malinda ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026

1 Day

4,854.14

decreased by 394.00

1 Week

4,886.62

decreased by 361.52

1 Month

4,617.04

decreased by 631.10

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Neto Malinda ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 2008 to Jul 30, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0764
0.99
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8735
155.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0764
-0.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.12
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9471
1.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0529
0.41

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

7 days