V-Lab
Neto Malinda ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026
1 Day
4,854.14
1 Week
4,886.62
1 Month
4,617.04
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 20, 2008 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0764 | 0.99 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8735 | 155.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0764 | -0.46 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9471 | 1.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0529 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
7 days
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