V-Lab
Noram Drilling AS Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
4,470.83
1 Week
6,296.18
1 Month
6,404.91
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 29, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.7806 | 0.07 |
| βGARCH | 0.5642 | 0.40 |
| γleverage | -0.6896 | -0.06 |
1.000
Persistence1386294d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.7806 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5642 | 0.40 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.6896 | -0.06 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Noram Drilling AS Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities