MasterCard Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
8.47
1 Week
8.26
1 Month
7.72
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 25, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0573 | 3.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9142 | 76.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0546 | -0.94 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0115 | 2.27** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9880 | 113.97*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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