Skip to main content
V-Lab

MasterCard Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

7.08

increased by 0.56

1 Week

6.78

increased by 0.26

1 Month

7.30

increased by 0.78

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MasterCard Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 25, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0571
3.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9138
75.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0552
-0.95
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0116
2.30**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9879
114.41***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days