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Karnika Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

13,823.36

increased by 10,776.72

1 Week

5,813.30

increased by 2,766.66

1 Month

5,432.48

increased by 2,385.84

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Karnika Industries Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 12, 2023 to Oct 19, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.2945
9.73***
βGARCH0.6957
22.28***
γleverage-0.0460
-1.07
λ₁tau intercept13,745.6819

0.967

Persistence

21d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2945
9.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6957
22.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0460
-1.07
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

13,745.6819

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days