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Islami Bank Bangladesh Ltd Plc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

3,879.51

increased by 26.38

1 Week

3,830.34

decreased by 22.79

1 Month

3,687.51

decreased by 165.62

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Islami Bank Bangladesh Ltd Plc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 1992 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 13329 trading days (~52.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~13329 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9928
349.21***
γleverage0.0143
2.49**

1.000

Persistence

13329d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9928
349.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0143
2.49**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

13329 days