Islami Bank Bangladesh Ltd Plc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026
1 Day
3,879.51
1 Week
3,830.34
1 Month
3,687.51
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 1992 to Oct 8, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 13329 trading days (~52.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9928 | 349.21*** |
| γleverage | 0.0143 | 2.49** |
1.000
Persistence13329d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9928 | 349.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0143 | 2.49** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
13329 days
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