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Williamson Tea Kenya Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

8,266.68

increased by 2,648.89

1 Week

5,974.60

increased by 356.81

1 Month

6,012.77

increased by 394.98

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Williamson Tea Kenya Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 1991 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.1214
5.78***
βGARCH0.7118
17.84***
γleverage-0.1214
-1.36
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0256
3.69***
λ₃tau persistence0.9744
137.78***

0.773

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1214
5.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7118
17.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1214
-1.36
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0256
3.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9744
137.78***

Persistence:

0.773

Half-life:

3 days