V-Lab
Gipta Ofis Kirtasiye VE PRO Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026
1 Day
14,390.75
increased by 4,125.87
1 Week
5,943.88
decreased by 4,321.00
1 Month
1,464.46
decreased by 8,800.42
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2023 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.64 |
| αARCH | 0.0427 | 1.16 |
| βGARCH | 0.8317 | 32.08*** |
| γleverage | 0.2104 | 2.99*** |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.64 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0427 | 1.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8317 | 32.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2104 | 2.99*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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