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V-Lab

Geekay Wires Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

4,417.38

decreased by 560.68

1 Week

4,295.53

decreased by 682.53

1 Month

5,940.48

increased by 962.42

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Geekay Wires Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.10
αARCH0.2737
0.25
βGARCH0.7775
2.50**
γleverage-0.1023
-0.09

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2737
0.25
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7775
2.50**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1023
-0.09

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-