V-Lab
Funko, Inc. Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
5,963.29
1 Week
5,626.99
1 Month
5,410.71
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:31 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 2, 2017 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 127% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.40 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0583 | 4.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9048 | 87.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0738 | 2.51** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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