Filatex Fashions Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
29,931.12
1 Week
6,930.63
1 Month
6,867.87
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 15, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 1.0000 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1989 | 1.05 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3703 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6297 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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