Eleco PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
1,460,957.00
1 Week
1,437,599.60
1 Month
1,433,549.32
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.5084 | 1.01 |
| βGARCH | 0.2253 | 0.79 |
| γleverage | -0.5000 | -0.42 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 2,148,560.9125 |
0.484
Persistence1d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5084 | 1.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2253 | 0.79 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -0.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,148,560.9125 |
Persistence:
0.484
Half-life:
1 days
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