Tipharco Pharmaceutical Join ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
5,975.00
1 Week
5,975.00
1 Month
3,124.34
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 01:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2023 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1265 | 3.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8500 | 20.53*** |
| γleverage | -0.0489 | -1.35 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 1,829.2935 |
0.952
Persistence14d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1265 | 3.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8500 | 20.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0489 | -1.35 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1,829.2935 |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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