Skip to main content
V-Lab

De Tam Jsc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

5,731.28

increased by 2,451.08

1 Week

3,367.73

increased by 87.53

1 Month

2,561.15

decreased by 719.05

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of De Tam Jsc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 16, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0976
1.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9259
249.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0976
-0.67
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9980
596.88***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days