CT Healthcare Trust Plc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
62,581.06
1 Week
70,923.65
1 Month
88,759.17
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2016 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0818 | 3.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9128 | 131.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0818 | -3.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.2829 | 13.98*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0211 | 12.97*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9743 | 139.67*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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