V-Lab
Contango Silver & Gold Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
4,877.89
1 Week
4,782.99
1 Month
4,619.80
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 21, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0561 | 0.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9211 | 226.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0561 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9032 | 0.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0968 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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