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Contango Silver & Gold Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

4,877.89

increased by 165.01

1 Week

4,782.99

increased by 70.11

1 Month

4,619.80

decreased by 93.08

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Contango Silver & Gold Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 21, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0561
0.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9211
226.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0561
-0.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9032
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0968
0.02

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days