Coats Group PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
8,130.75
1 Week
8,340.25
1 Month
8,136.14
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0350 | 1.48 |
| βGARCH | 0.9775 | 150.90*** |
| γleverage | -0.0350 | -2.04** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.63 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 1.0000 | 0.79 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 2.00** |
0.995
Persistence138d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0350 | 1.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9775 | 150.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0350 | -2.04** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.63 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.79 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 2.00** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
Other Coats Group PLC Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities