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Coats Group PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

8,130.75

decreased by 72.65

1 Week

8,340.25

increased by 136.85

1 Month

8,136.14

decreased by 67.26

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coats Group PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~138 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0350
1.48
βGARCH0.9775
150.90***
γleverage-0.0350
-2.04**
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.63
λ₂forecast adj.1.0000
0.79
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
2.00**

0.995

Persistence

138d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0350
1.48
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9775
150.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0350
-2.04**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.63
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.79
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
2.00**

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days