V-Lab
Cerus Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
4,683.89
1 Week
5,187.78
1 Month
5,276.76
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1395 | 19.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8611 | 130.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1395 | -4.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.6054 | 2.25** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9958 | 139.56*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
Other Cerus Corp Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities