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PT Citra Buana Prasida TBK Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

5,584.38

increased by 2,110.96

1 Week

3,819.23

increased by 345.81

1 Month

1,822.56

decreased by 1,650.86

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PT Citra Buana Prasida TBK ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 2023 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9459
1.13
αARCH0.0751
1.76*
βGARCH0.9067
42.32***
γleverage0.0365
0.79

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9459
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0751
1.76*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9067
42.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0365
0.79

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-