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Burkhalter Holding Ag Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

5,403.73

decreased by 233.74

1 Week

5,888.23

increased by 250.76

1 Month

6,605.06

increased by 967.59

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Burkhalter Holding Ag ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 2008 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 daysAsymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.10
αARCH0.0170
1.24
βGARCH0.9491
97.43***
γleverage0.0679
2.31**

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0170
1.24
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9491
97.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0679
2.31**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days