Beezaasan Explotech Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
3,877.72
1 Week
3,316.56
1 Month
4,865.53
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.2868 | 7.74*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4978 | 8.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.0521 | 1.64 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 5,324.4071 |
0.811
Persistence3d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2868 | 7.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4978 | 8.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0521 | 1.64 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5,324.4071 |
Persistence:
0.811
Half-life:
3 days
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