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Autozi Internet Technology Global Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

171,632.80

decreased by 26,860.20

1 Week

186,228.00

decreased by 12,265.00

1 Month

372,575.54

increased by 174,082.54

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Autozi Internet Technology Global Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 28, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 88% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1619
5.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7668
80.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1427
2.73***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-