V-Lab
Autozi Internet Technology Global Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
140,818.20
decreased by 44,737.50
1 Week
224,258.22
increased by 38,702.52
1 Month
294,627.86
increased by 109,072.16
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 28, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3214 | 21.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6538 | 52.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0233 | -2.48** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 400,622.9752 |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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