Assembly Biosciences Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
4,272.39
1 Week
4,727.00
1 Month
5,450.27
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 2010 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 56% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.68 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1014 | 28.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8704 | 445.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0564 | 10.80*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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