How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	66
αARCH	0.2108	5.21***
βGARCH	0.6872	14.89***
γleverage	0.2024	3.84***
λ₁tau intercept	10.0000	0.01
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0510	2.47**
λ₃tau persistence	0.9490	47.23***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	66
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2108	5.21***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6872	14.89***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.2024	3.84***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.01
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0510	2.47**
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9490	47.23***

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Aeon Credit Services M Bhd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Aeon Credit Services M Bhd Analyses