V-Lab
Attock Cement Pakistan Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
13,727.10
1 Week
3,983.54
1 Month
1,278.72
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 288% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.44 |
| αARCH | 0.0633 | 3.24*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8455 | 42.17*** |
| γleverage | 0.1825 | 2.28** |
1.000
Persistence1386294d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0633 | 3.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8455 | 42.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1825 | 2.28** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Attock Cement Pakistan Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities