V-Lab
Daiun Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
12,769.35
1 Week
4,803.26
1 Month
2,855.30
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.1611 | 9.94*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7292 | 27.13*** |
| γleverage | -0.1611 | -5.80*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 1.86* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.3086 | 2.67*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.6914 | 6.22*** |
0.810
Persistence3d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1611 | 9.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7292 | 27.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1611 | -5.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.86* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3086 | 2.67*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6914 | 6.22*** |
Persistence:
0.810
Half-life:
3 days
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