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Japan Asia Investment Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,331.52

decreased by 826.42

1 Week

5,428.28

decreased by 729.66

1 Month

4,882.56

decreased by 1,275.38

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Japan Asia Investment Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1996 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 95% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 95% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6126
2.88***
αARCH0.1067
7.69***
βGARCH0.8428
106.42***
γleverage0.1011
3.78***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6126
2.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1067
7.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8428
106.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1011
3.78***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-