V-Lab
Tsh Biopharm Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
9,345.91
1 Week
9,199.25
1 Month
5,851.33
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 16, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3724 | 0.29 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6781 | 28.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3724 | -0.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9846 | 25.39*** |
Persistence:
0.864
Half-life:
5 days
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