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Lapine Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

4,917.30

decreased by 614.81

1 Week

5,478.86

decreased by 53.25

1 Month

6,002.35

increased by 470.24

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Lapine Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 1992 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.12
αARCH0.0862
2.64***
βGARCH0.8794
128.10***
γleverage0.0689
1.07

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0862
2.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8794
128.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0689
1.07

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days