V-Lab
Hamayuu Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
5,613.45
1 Week
1,802.82
1 Month
972.83
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 18, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.1499 | 7.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8157 | 37.30*** |
| γleverage | -0.1499 | -6.27*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.6858 | 0.90 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9977 | 341.46*** |
0.891
Persistence6d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1499 | 7.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8157 | 37.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1499 | -6.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.6858 | 0.90 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9977 | 341.46*** |
Persistence:
0.891
Half-life:
6 days
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