Skip to main content
V-Lab

Abalance Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

11,660.67

increased by 1,639.30

1 Week

4,682.22

decreased by 5,339.15

1 Month

1,454.72

decreased by 8,566.65

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Abalance Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 19, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2689
4.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7736
290.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2445
-2.29**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9951
669.19***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days