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Data Horizon Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

2,601.04

decreased by 642.22

1 Week

3,214.63

decreased by 28.63

1 Month

5,541.52

increased by 2,298.26

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Data Horizon Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2008 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow121
αARCH0.2265
14.37***
βGARCH0.7824
55.66***
γleverage-0.0968
-4.46***
λ₁tau intercept0.2494
0.81
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9988
214.89***

0.961

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2265
14.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7824
55.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0968
-4.46***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2494
0.81
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9988
214.89***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days