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Unique Optical Industrial Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

269.20

increased by 60.32

1 Week

268.26

increased by 59.38

1 Month

444.51

increased by 235.63

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Unique Optical Industrial Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.6457
2.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0594
4.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8163
261.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2486
6.93***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days