V-Lab
Unique Optical Industrial Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
269.20
1 Week
268.26
1 Month
444.51
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.6457 | 2.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0594 | 4.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8163 | 261.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2486 | 6.93*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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