Joinsoon Electroincs Mfg Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026
1 Day
8,018.04
1 Week
8,358.48
1 Month
5,046.13
Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 6, 2007 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.51 |
| αARCH | 0.1191 | 2.18** |
| βGARCH | 0.8160 | 55.73*** |
| γleverage | 0.1297 | 1.57 |
1.000
Persistence1386294d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.51 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1191 | 2.18** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8160 | 55.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1297 | 1.57 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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