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Wintao Communications Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

3,255.19

increased by 1,420.62

1 Month

3,255.19

increased by 1,420.62

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Wintao Communications Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 8, 2022 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.11
αARCH0.0439
0.28
βGARCH0.9608
43.72***
γleverage-0.0094
-0.05

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.11
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0439
0.28
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9608
43.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0094
-0.05

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-